2011 midseason positional rankings: top 30 outfielders

Nick J. Faleris
April 24, 2011
 

Presented below are the DiamondScape Scouting midseason positional rankings for the 2011 draft class. We will be rolling out our top 15 catchers, first basemen, second basemen third basemen and shortstops, our top 30 outfielders, and our top 50 pitchers as of mid-April 2011. This series will culminate with our overall midseason top 300 draft prospects, which will post April 25-27, 2011:

Positional Rankings:  c  |  1b  | 2b  |  3b  |  ss  |  of  | p 
Midseason Top 300:  1 - 100  |  101 - 200  |  201 - 300

College crop stumbling; preps moving up...
 
Jackie Bradley, Jr. (Univ. of South Carolina) entered the season as the poster child for "safe", with a a solid tool set across the board, including a plus-plus arm and the potential for plus defense in center field.  After a strong first month, JBJ saw his offensive game slip (in small part due to a continued early-count focus on yanking the ball), and last week had his season potentially brought to a close when he injured his wrist diving for a ball in the outfield.  While the tools and smarts are still there, the lack of growth between summer 2010 and spring 2011 is at least a little disappointing, and leads a list of frustrating first halves for collegiate outfielders.  Kyle Gaedele (Valparaiso Univ.) and Alex Dickerson (Indiana Univ.) have each failed to step-up and claim a Day 1 spot on the DSS draft board.  Dickerson, maybe a better fit at first base, has put his hit tool on display while failing to produce the in-game power that we saw equally absent this past summer with Team USA.  Gaedele, perhaps the best pure power bat in the draft, is hitting with some authority, but has had the length in his swing exposed some, furthering questions as to whether his contact rate will allow the power to play at the pro ranks. George Springer (Univ. of Connecticut), Brian Goodwin (Miami Dade Coll.), Zach Cone (Univ. of Georgia) and Jason Coats (Texas Christian Univ.) have each had up-and-down stretches over the first two months.  Springer showed the same swing and balance issues at the beginning of the year that were prominently showcased last summer, but recently has cleaned-up his load some and has further improved his contact rate.  The question for the uber-ceilinged center fielder will be whether he can continue to make adjustments against advanced pitching, and whether or not his inconsistent offensive approach can be refined.  Derek "Bubba" Starling (Gardner-Edgerton HS, Gardner, Kan.), Joshua Bell (Jesuit Coll. Prep, Dallas, Texas) and Derek Fisher (Cedar Crest HS, Lebanon, Penn.) have each put themselves easily into Day 1 consideration, with all three having the potential to come off the board in the first 33 picks.  The preseason top 30 outfielder write-up noted Johnny Eierman (Warsaw HS, Warsaw, Mo.) could fit very well in center field given his speed and arm.  Eierman has continued to show well against over-matched Missouri competition, and his power potential combined with a chance for above-average defense up-the-middle make him one of the most underrated Day 1 candidates in the country.  The April 17 DSS Draft Blog entry explores nine of the below shortstops in more detail via a midseason stock up/stock down/stock hold piece.  The rankings below represent DiamondScape Scouting's midseason positional ranking for 2011 Rule 4 Draft-eligible amateurs only, with their preseason rankings in parentheses (green indicating a rise, red a fall and blue a hold in position):
  1. Derek "Bubba" Starling | Gardner-Edgerton HS, Gardner, Kan. (1)
  2. George Springer | Univ. of Connecticut (3)
  3. Joshua Bell | Jesuit Coll. Prep., Dallas, Texas (5)
  4. Derek Fisher | Cedar Crest HS, Lebanon, Penn. (8)
  5. Jackie Bradley, Jr. | Univ. of South Carolina (2)
  6. Brian Goodwin | Miami Dade Coll. (4)
  7. Brandon Nimmo | East HS, Cheyenne, Wyo. (9)
  8. Mikie Mahtook | Louisiana St. Univ. (17)
  9. Zach Cone | Univ. of Georgia (6)
  10. Jason Coats | Texas Christian Univ. (7)
  11. Charles Tilson | New Trier Township HS, Winnetka, Ill. (11)
  12. Dwight Smith | McIntosh HS, Peachtree City, Ga. (13)
  13. Jake Cave | Kecoughtan HS, Hampton, Va. (14)
  14. Johnny Eierman | Warsaw HS, Warsaw, Mo. (21)
  15. Billy Flamion | Central Catholic HS, Modesto, Calif. (16)
  16. Shon Carson | Lake City HS, Lake City, S.C. (19)
  17. Kyle Gaedele | Valparaiso Univ. (10)
  18. Travis Harrison | Tustin HS, Tustin, Calif. (20)
  19. Aaron Brown | Chatsworth HS, Chatsworth, Calif. (22)
  20. Alex Dickerson | Indiana Univ. (12)
  21. Kes Carter | Western Kentucky Univ. (NR)
  22. Eric Snyder | Edison HS, Huntington Beach, Calif. (23)
  23. Roman Quinn | Port St. Joe HS, Port St. Joe, Fla. (24)
  24. Joshua Tobias | Southeast Guilford HS, Greensboro, N.C. (27)
  25. Jacob Anderson | Chino HS, Chino, Calif. (29)
  26. Nick Martini | Kansas St. Univ. (15)
  27. Jo-El Bennett | Houston County HS, Columbia, Ala. (26)
  28. Shawon Dunston, Jr. | Valley Christian HS, San Jose, Calif. (30)
  29. Senquez Golson | Pascagoula HS, Pascagoula, Miss. (NR)
  30. Johnny Ruettiger | Arizona St. Univ. (25)
 Dropped Out: Zach Wilson | Arizona St. Univ. (18); Desmond Henry | Centennial HS, Compton, Calif. (28)
 
 Top tools
 Hit: Derek "Bubba" Starling | Gardner-Edgerton HS, Gardner, Kan.

 Power:

 Kyle Gaedele | Valparaiso Univ.
 Speed: Roman Quinn | Port St. Joe HS, Port St. Joe, Fla.
 Arm: Jackie Bradley, Jr. | Univ. of South Carolina
 Defense: Jackie Bradley, Jr. | Univ. of South Carolina
 


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Rankings/RankingsArticleOFStarling.jpg
Derek "Bubba" Starling (photo by Nick J. Faleris)

Top Prospect:  Bubba Starling | Gardner-Edgerton HS (Kan.)
Scouting Report Summary (full scouting report here): 
Starling has the potential to develop into a truly elite talent in every respect.  He is the class' best athlete, and while he has not devoted his attention to baseball yet he is far from an "athlete first"-type of player.  The most encouraging aspect of his performance last summer was not the jaw-dropping SPARQ testing, impressive in-game displays, or even the mature approach considering his experience.  Rather, what sets Starling apart is the strides he was able to make between June and August, and the ferocity with which he was able to devour instruction, digest it and apply it to his game.  His swing, still in need of fine-tuning at the Area Code Games, was cleaner than it showed at the Tournament of Stars a little over a month earlier -- particularly in his weight transfer.  He circled the ball better in the outfield and showed more confidence in his actions at the plate after logging dozens of plate appearances throughout the summer months against the country's (and in some cases, the world's) top high school/18U talent.  There is, of course, risk in committing a large sum of money to a high school player with unrefined skills.  If ever there is a time to do it, however, it's when you come across an unrefined talent that displays elite athleticism, a knack for picking-up instruction and the competitive drive to push until he masters something -- that's exactly what you have in Bubba.  For organizations adept at molding young talent, Starling is as promising a ball of clay as you are going to find.
 
Preseason Rankings
Positional Rankings: 
c  |  1b  | 2b  |  3b  |  ss  |  of  | p 
Top 300: 


 
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